Forecasting the effects of the new SARS-CoV-2 variant in Europe
DATE:
2021-05-08
UNIVERSAL IDENTIFIER: http://hdl.handle.net/11093/2351
EDITED VERSION: https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/5553240
UNESCO SUBJECT: 1206.02 Ecuaciones Diferenciales ; 1206.12 Ecuaciones Diferenciales Ordinarias ; 2420.08 Virus Respiratorios
DOCUMENT TYPE: article
ABSTRACT
Due to the emergence of a new SARS-CoV-2 variant, we use a previous model to simulate the behaviour of this new SARS-CoV-2 variant. The analysis and simulations are performed for Europe, in order to provide a global analysis of the pandemic. In this context, numerical results are obtained in the first 100 days of the pandemic assuming an infectivity of 70%, 56%, and 35%, respectively, higher for the new SAR-CoV-2 variant, as compared with the real data.